Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
Chief Investment Strategist
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Berkshire Hathaway’s Q3 filing reveals continued recalibration, marked by strategic reductions in some of Buffett’s largest and most iconic holdings. This sustained selling trend hints at Buffett’s careful approach to maintaining portfolio balance amid market uncertainties.
One of the most significant shifts this quarter was Buffett’s additional cut to Berkshire’s Apple (AAPL)stake, which was reduced from 400 million shares to 300 million shares. This is now over two-thirds less than its size since 2023, suggesting a cautious tone toward the tech giant’s valuation. Similarly, Buffett trimmed back Berkshire’s position in Bank of America (BAC) by 23%, reflecting a potential reassessment of the banking sector. Buffett's move could also be a reflection of the bank facing some serious challenges in its bond portfolio, which have resulted in massive unrealized losses and write-offs.
An unexpected move this quarter was Buffett’s swift exit from Ulta Beauty (ULTA). After only one quarter, he sold nearly all his shares in the cosmetics chain—a departure from his typical long-term investment approach. This rare short-term exit may reflect a reassessment of the company’s growth outlook or an adjustment based on Berkshire’s evolving sector strategy.
In addition to the reductions and exits, Berkshire Hathaway showed continued commitment to some of its core holdings by modestly increasing stakes in Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) and Heico Corp (HEI). Buffett added 3.77 million shares of Sirius XM, raising his total stake to over 105 million shares—a 3.72% increase. This suggests Buffett’s confidence in Sirius XM’s strong market positioning and reliable cash flows, which fit well with his preference for stable businesses. Additionally, Berkshire increased its position in Heico Corp by 5,445 shares, bringing the total to nearly 1.05 million shares. This incremental boost indicates Buffett's growing interest in the aerospace and defense technology space, where Heico has maintained a resilient foothold.
While Buffett trimmed several holdings, he also added a few fresh positions. Berkshire’s investment in Domino’s Pizza (DPZ), with a 1.28 million-share purchase, showcases Buffett’s interest in consumer-facing companies with strong brand recognition and cash flow. In a surprising addition, he also took a stake in Pool Corp (POOL), acquiring 404,057 shares. This move into the pool equipment sector highlights Buffett’s search for unique investment opportunities with niche market potential.
According to its 10-Q report, Berkshire continued to sell more than it bought in Q3, with net stock sales amounting to approximately $36 billion against $1.5 billion in purchases. This consistent trend of heavy selling aligns with Buffett’s comments about tax considerations and portfolio rebalancing, though it has fueled speculation about his broader market outlook.
Several other holdings saw significant cuts:
Berkshire also fully exited its position in Floor & Decor (FND), a flooring retailer, selling off all four million shares—a move that reflects Buffett’s decisive adjustment in the consumer discretionary sector.
Buffett’s portfolio adjustments illustrate his classic value investing principles with a renewed focus on balancing risk and opportunity:
As investors analyze these moves, Buffett’s actions provide valuable insights into the mindset of one of the world’s most respected investors during a period of market flux.
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