Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
Chief Investment Strategist
AI surged to prominence in 2023, with widespread adoption by individuals, businesses, and governments. While tech giants and chip names have dominated headlines, the real story lies in the broader ecosystem of emerging companies and industries harnessing AI to transform their operations. Our recent article on the evolving AI narrative touched on the boom is spreading to software companies, but 2025 can also bring opportunities extending far beyond a few dominant industries.
AI's potential remains vastly untapped. Current applications, including machine learning, natural language processing, and autonomous decision-making, represent just a fraction of what's possible. As these technologies advance, they are set to revolutionize a range of industries:
AI is no longer a distant concept—it’s a transformative force driving innovation across sectors. For investors, the opportunity is clear: tapping into this technological revolution offers exposure to industries poised for significant growth.
The healthcare sector stands at the crossroads of structural demand and technological innovation. An aging population is driving sustained demand for treatments and care, while breakthroughs in medical technology and drug development are unlocking unprecedented opportunities for growth.
Historically, healthcare demand has been largely immune to macroeconomic conditions, with global earnings growth in the sector steadily outpacing market averages. This stability, coupled with breakthroughs in medical technology, positions healthcare as a unique investment opportunity that blends defensiveness with growth.
In fact, the industry is undergoing a revolutionary transformation, driven by advancements in:
The healthcare sector’s unique blend of growth potential and defensive characteristics positions it as a cornerstone for any portfolio. With rapid advancements in technology and medicine, it’s clear that the future of healthcare is as exciting as it is resilient.
Global supply chains are undergoing a paradigm shift as businesses adapt to new geopolitical and economic realities. The U.S.-China trade war and protectionist policies, including tariffs introduced during the first tenure of Trump administration, have highlighted vulnerabilities in the global trade system and accelerated efforts to build more resilient and diversified supply chains. Trump has even threatened to impose 60% tariffs on China and 10-20% tariffs globally in his second term beginning January 2025. While these may be negotiation tactics, businesses will continue to prioritize resilience in their operations.
The key drivers of supply chain resilience include:
As businesses face new pressures to ensure resilient and adaptable supply chains, opportunities are emerging in logistics, transportation, and infrastructure sectors:
Investors can tap into the growing demand for resilient supply chains by focusing on logistics, infrastructure, and emerging markets like India and Vietnam:
The global wealth landscape is shifting, with emerging markets set to drive the rise of newly affluent consumers. By 2050, emerging markets are predicted to account for six out of the seven largest economies, reshaping global consumption trends.
Asia will be at the heart of this transformation, as rising incomes and an expanding middle class lead to increased demand for luxury goods, travel, and other high-end services. As these affluent consumers become a major economic force, they will reshape industries from retail to tourism.
As emerging markets expand and become wealthier, the demand for luxury goods and travel experiences will continue to grow, presenting investors with significant opportunities. By targeting ETFs that focus on these sectors, investors can tap into the rise of affluent consumers in these regions.
The New Economy is driven by transformations in infrastructure, digital connectivity, and advanced technologies like 5G and AI. Investments are flooding into sectors such as climate change, mobility, smart cities, and next-gen infrastructure, creating long-term growth opportunities. Urbanization, sustainability, and smarter cities are key drivers, as governments and corporations prioritize modernizing infrastructure to address climate, mobility, and technological challenges. This evolution is reshaping industries and creating new markets.
In addition to AI and automation, the key drivers of the new economy include:
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