Value investing: what it is and how it works

Value investing: what it is and how it works

Trading Strategies
Saxo Be Invested

Saxo Group

Value investing has been a key strategy for some of the world's most successful investors. It focusses on finding stocks that the market has overlooked or mispriced, offering an opportunity to buy quality companies at a discount. Rather than chasing market trends or short-term gains, value investors look for solid businesses trading below their true worth, in the expectation that the market will eventually correct this.

This guide will walk you through the essentials of value investing, how it works, and the strategies that can help you uncover hidden opportunities in the market.

What is value investing?

Value investing is a strategy where investors aim to purchase stocks at prices below their so-called ˈintrinsic valueˈ, expecting the market to eventually recognise the stock's true worth. The core belief behind it is that markets can sometimes misprice stocks due to short-term factors like investor sentiment or market noise.

At its heart, value investing is about separating a company's market price from its fundamental value. This approach relies on careful financial analysis and the ability to spot opportunities where quality companies are undervalued.

Pioneered by investors like Benjamin Graham and popularised by Warren Buffet, value investing remains a disciplined and patient approach that can generate substantial long-term returns.

Investors who follow this strategy look beyond temporary setbacks or market pessimism, focussing instead on solid companies with strong fundamentals such as consistent earnings, robust cash flow, and manageable debt levels. The ultimate goal is to buy these stocks at a discount and hold them as their value increases over time.

How value investing works

Value investing revolves around identifying stocks that are priced below their intrinsic value, which is often determined through detailed financial analysis. This process involves assessing a company's fundamentals to establish what its stock should be worth, irrespective of short-term market movements.

Let's see everything in more detail:

Intrinsic value

The first step in value investing is determining the intrinsic value of a stock. Investors evaluate a company's assets, earnings, and cash flows to estimate its actual worth.

While calculating intrinsic value isn't an exact science, value investors often use financial metrics like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-book (P/B) ratio, and cash flow analysis to form their judgment. What matters is finding stocks trading below this intrinsic value, creating a margin of safety.

Margin of safety

The margin of safety is the buffer between a stock's market price and its estimated intrinsic value. It accounts for the fact that intrinsic value calculations can involve some level of uncertainty.

When purchasing stocks at a discount, value investors mitigate the risk of losing money if the market doesn't recognise the stock's true worth quickly. A larger margin of safety offers greater protection against potential downside risk.

Financial ratios

There are some key metrics and ratios that guide value investors in their assessments. These include:

  • Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. It helps determine if a stock's price reflects its earnings potential.
  • Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio. It compares a company's market price to its book value, indicating whether it's undervalued.
  • Dividend yield. Measures how much a company returns to shareholders, providing an additional layer of value.

Investors can use value investing screeners that filter stocks based on these metrics to find potential opportunities. These tools help investors identify stocks that are undervalued relative to their peers or the broader market.

Value investing vs. growth investing

As previously mentioned, value investing focuses on finding stocks trading below their intrinsic value, offering long-term investors an opportunity to buy quality companies at a discount. In contrast, growth investing takes a different approach, targeting companies that are expected to grow faster than the overall market.

While value investors look out for undervalued stocks with solid fundamentals, growth investors focus on companies with significant potential for future expansion. These growth companies are often found in dynamic sectors like technology, where innovation drives rapid earnings growth.

However, unlike value stocks, growth stocks are typically priced at a premium, reflecting their anticipated future performance.

Risk and reward

Value stocks can offer a margin of safety due to their lower market price relative to intrinsic value, making them less volatile in times of market uncertainty.

On the other hand, growth stocks often come with higher risk, as their success depends on future performance rather than current fundamentals. Investors in growth companies are betting on continued rapid expansion, which might not always happen as planned.

Which strategy is better?

Historically, value investing has performed well during periods of economic recovery or market corrections when investors seek stability and lower-risk investments. Growth stocks, conversely, tend to outperform in bullish markets when optimism about future earnings drives up prices.

Choosing between value and growth depends on market conditions, investment goals, and risk tolerance, but both approaches have their strengths in the right environment.

Value investing strategies

Value investors use a variety of strategic approaches to uncover opportunities in the stock market. Here are some of the most notable ones:

Contrarian investing

Contrarian investors deliberately take positions that go against the prevailing market sentiment. They seek out companies that are currently undervalued due to negative market sentiment or temporary setbacks. By focussing on the long-term fundamentals of these companies, contrarian investors aim to profit once the market corrects its overreaction.

Deep value investing

Deep value investors look for stocks that are trading at extreme discounts, often well below their intrinsic value. These stocks are typically distressed or out of favour due to significant market pessimism or operational struggles.

This strategy carries higher risks but offers potentially substantial rewards for those able to identify companies with the potential to recover or be restructured.

Dividend value investing

This strategy focusses on finding value stocks that not only trade below their intrinsic value but also provide a steady dividend yield. Investors using this approach aim to generate regular income from dividends while waiting for the stock's market price to appreciate.

This method is often favoured by income-focused investors who want a combination of capital appreciation and passive income.

GARP (Growth at a reasonable price)

This strategy combines principles of both value and growth investing. Investors following GARP look for companies that exhibit consistent earnings growth but are also trading at a reasonable valuation.

Essentially, they seek to find companies that are growing steadily but haven't yet become overpriced. GARP investors use metrics like the PEG ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth) to assess whether a growth company is still undervalued relative to its future earnings potential.

Low Price-to-Earnings (P/E) strategy

This is a classic value strategy that targets stocks with low P/E ratios. The idea is that a low P/E ratio indicates the market has undervalued the company's earnings. Investors using this strategy believe that as the market realises the true earning power of the company, its stock price will rise accordingly.

Net-net investing (liquidation value)

Popularised by Benjamin Graham, this strategy focusses on finding companies trading for less than the value of their net assets (total assets minus total liabilities).

Investors target companies that are priced at or below their liquidation value, meaning the company could be worth more if it were to be dissolved and its assets sold off. This strategy is rare but can lead to substantial returns in specific situations.

Behavioural biases and value investing

Market psychology plays a crucial role in creating opportunities for value investors. Emotional reactions and cognitive biases often cause stock prices to swing away from their intrinsic value, presenting chances to buy undervalued stocks. While fear and greed can dominate market behaviour, value investors focus on the long-term fundamentals.

How market psychology creates opportunities

When negative news hits or economic conditions worsen, investors tend to panic, leading to sharp selloffs. In these moments, stocks can become undervalued despite solid fundamentals. Value investors see these drops as opportunities to buy quality companies at discounted prices.

Conversely, during periods of excessive optimism, stock prices may rise far beyond their true worth, driven by speculation rather than substance. Value investors typically avoid overhyped stocks, knowing the market will eventually correct itself.

Common market biases

Here are the most common market biases:

Overconfidence bias

Investors often believe they can predict market movements better than they actually can. This overconfidence drives risky behaviour, especially in bull markets, where stocks may become overpriced. Value investors stay grounded, preferring solid fundamentals over speculation.

Loss aversion

The fear of losing money often leads investors to sell during downturns, even if the company's fundamentals remain strong. Value investors take advantage of this, buying when others are selling out of fear.

Herd mentality

Following the crowd can push stock prices too high, especially when hype surrounds a company. Value investors go against the grain, buying stocks that others have overlooked or abandoned, confident in the eventual market correction.

Is value investing dead?

In recent years, value investing has faced scrutiny, especially as growth stocks in sectors like technology have dominated the market. This has led some to question whether value investing is still relevant in today's economy.

While growth stocks have indeed outperformed value stocks in certain periods, declaring value investing ˈdeadˈ would overlook its proven long-term performance.

The case for value investing's struggles

The last decade has seen unprecedented growth in industries like tech, where companies are often valued for their potential rather than current earnings. Investors have flocked to growth stocks, driving up their prices and making it seem like value investing has lost its edge.

Easy access to capital, rapid innovation, and low interest rates (for the most part), have also skewed market sentiment toward high-growth companies.

However, the underperformance of value stocks is cyclical. Historically, periods of market correction or economic uncertainty have favoured value stocks as investors seek safer, more stable investments.

The principle of buying undervalued assets at a discount and waiting for the market to correct still holds true, particularly when speculation in growth stocks leads to unsustainable price levels.

Conclusion: Why value investing remains relevant

While growth stocks have seen periods of strong performance, value investing is far from obsolete. In fact, the cyclical nature of the market suggests that value stocks often outperform during recovery periods. Value investing offers a margin of safety that growth investing lacks, providing a buffer when markets become turbulent.

The strategy's focus on strong fundamentals and reliable business models is timeless. Investors who stick to value principles know that patient, disciplined investing often pays off in the long run, especially after bubbles burst and speculative trends cool off.

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...
Disclaimer

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited prepares and distributes information/research produced within the Saxo Bank Group for informational purposes only. In addition to the disclaimer below, if any general advice is provided, such advice does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider the appropriateness of trading any financial instrument as trading can result in losses that exceed your initial investment. Please refer to our Analysis Disclaimer, and our Financial Services Guide and Product Disclosure Statement. All legal documentation and disclaimers can be found at https://www.home.saxo/en-au/legal/.

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service. Access and use of Saxo News & Research and any Saxo Bank Group website are subject to (i) the Terms of Use; (ii) the full Disclaimer; and (iii) the Risk Warning in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group.

Saxo News & Research is provided for informational purposes, does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. No Saxo Bank Group entity shall be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information on Saxo News & Research.

To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, such content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication.

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments.Saxo Capital Markets does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo Capital Markets or its affiliates.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Full Disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-au/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
- Analysis Disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-au/legal/analysis-disclaimer/saxo-analysis-disclaimer)
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited
Suite 1, Level 14, 9 Castlereagh St
Sydney NSW 2000
Australia

Contact Saxo

Select region

Australia
Australia

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-au/about-us/awards

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited ABN 32 110 128 286 AFSL 280372 (‘Saxo’ or ‘Saxo Capital Markets’) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms, Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement and Target Market Determination to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Saxo Capital Markets does not provide ‘personal’ financial product advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Capital Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation. The Target Market Determination should assist you in determining whether any of the products or services we offer are likely to be consistent with your objectives, financial situation and needs.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. AppStore is a service mark of Apple Inc.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website is not intended for residents of the United States and Japan.

Please click here to view our full disclaimer.