What are your options - Nvidia earnings trades

What are your options - Nvidia earnings trades

Options 10 minutes to read
Koen Hoorelbeke

Investment and Options Strategist

Summary:  Our latest article provides a comprehensive overview of 4 distinct options trading strategies. These strategies are designed to capitalize on the anticipated decrease in volatility following Nvidia's earnings release. Each strategy is meticulously crafted to cater to a specific market outlook, offering a robust toolkit for traders. This article serves as a valuable resource for both novice and experienced traders, aiming to enhance their trading acumen and decision-making process in the dynamic world of options trading.


Feedback welcome: How can we make our content better for you?

What are your options: Nvidia earnings trade setups

Today, our focus is on Nvidia, which is scheduled to release its earnings report after the bell. This article outlines 4 options trades that can be set up today, prior to the earnings release. These strategies are designed to leverage the expected decrease in volatility, potentially leading to maximum profits at the opening tomorrow.

The strategies are categorized based on market outlook: bullish, neutral and bearish. Each strategy is a credit strategy, intended to benefit from the earnings announcement tonight. The objective is to establish a position before the close, to fully benefit from the potential decrease in volatility.

The expected move is a crucial factor in these strategies. The expected move of NVDA (on November 20th, for expiration November 24th0 is plus or minus $36.59) Each strategy takes the expected move into account, allowing you to choose the direction based on your outlook. Whether you’re planning to trade today or learn for future earnings events, these strategies provide a practical guide to options trading around major corporate announcements. Let’s proceed to discuss these strategies and prepare for the world of options trading.

Important note: the strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.

In this article we're going to cover the following strategies:

  • Bullish strategy
    • Short/Credit Put Vertical Spread
        
  • Neutral / range bound strategy
    • Short Iron Condor
       
  • Bearish strategies
    • Short/Credit Call Vertical Spread
    • Short/Credit Call Broken Wing Butterfly
 

Bullish Strategy

Put Credit Spread on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

 
  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $503.91
  • Options Details:
    • Sell to Open 1x 470 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 11.55/11.65, Delta: -0.2676
    • Buy to Open 1x 460 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 8.85/8.95, Delta: 0.0497
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 2.75 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 275.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 521.45 EUR (can vary according to your margin profile)
    • Max Risk: -725.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 275.00 USD
    • Breakeven: 467.25 USD

  • The strategy involves selling a 470 put and buying a 460 put with the same expiration date, resulting in a net credit of $275. The breakeven point is $467.25. This trade has a defined risk of $725 and a defined profit of $275, characteristic of a credit spread that suggests a neutral to bullish outlook on the stock.

Short Iron Condor on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $504.02
  • Options Details:
    • Buy to Open 1x 575 Call, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 5.90/6.00, Delta: 0.1806
    • Sell to Open 1x 570 Call, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 6.65/6.75, Delta: 0.1984
    • Sell to Open 1x 470 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 11.60/11.70, Delta: -0.2684
    • Buy to Open 1x 465 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 10.15/10.25, Delta: -0.2433
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 2.00 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 200.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 87.31 EUR (may varry according to margin profile)
    • Max Risk: -300.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 200.00 USD
    • Breakeven Points: 468.00 USD, 572.00 USD

  • The net credit received is $200. The breakeven points are $468.00 and $572.00. This trade has a defined risk of $300 and a potential profit of $200, characteristic of an iron condor strategy that suggests a neutral outlook on the stock.

Call Credit Spread on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

 
  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $504.04
  • Options Details:
    • Buy to Open 1x 550 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 4.75/4.80, Delta: 0.1943
    • Sell to Open 1x 540 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 6.65/6.75, Delta: 0.2518
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 3.30 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 330.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 593.42 EUR
    • Max Risk: -670.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 330.00 USD
    • Breakeven: 543.30 USD

  • The strategy involves buying a 550 call and selling a 540 call with the same expiration date, resulting in a net credit of $330. The breakeven point is $543.30. This trade has a defined risk of $670 and a defined profit of $330, characteristic of a call credit spread that suggests a neutral to bearish outlook on the stock.

Call Broken Wing Butterfly on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

 
  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $504.12
  • Options Details:
    • Buy to Open 1x 560 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 3.35/3.45, Delta: 0.1460
    • Sell to Open 2x 540 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 6.65/6.75, Delta: 0.2505
    • Buy to Open 1x 532.5 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 8.50/8.60, Delta: 0.2992
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 1.50 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 150.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 751.24 EUR
    • Max Risk: -1,100.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 900.00 USD
    • Breakeven: 549.00 USD

  • The strategy involves buying a 560 call, selling double the amount of 540 calls, and buying a 532.5 call with the same expiration date, resulting in a net credit of $150. The breakeven point is $549.00. This trade has a defined risk of $1,100 and a defined profit of $900, characteristic of a call broken wing butterfly that suggests a neutral to slightly bullish outlook on the stock, if you're aim is to go for the maximum profit. However, if the initial credit received ($150/contract) fits your trading objectives, you could see the strategy as bearish to neutral: as long as the price of NVDA stays below 532.5, you will keep your initial credit. If it rises higher, you still have the "sweet-spot" which could yield you an extra profit. If it goes above the breakeven you're most probably have max loss.


Conclusion

In conclusion, this article presents a range of options trading strategies to leverage the expected decrease in volatility following Nvidia’s earnings release. These strategies, are categorized based on market outlook and are designed as short volatility strategies. While these strategies provide a practical guide, it’s crucial to remember that investing in the stock market carries risk, and careful consideration is essential when planning options trades. Happy trading!


Options are complex, high-risk products and require knowledge, investment experience and, in many applications, high risk acceptance. We recommend that before you invest in options, you inform yourself well about the operation and risks. In Saxo Bank's Terms of Use you will find more information on this in the Important Information Options, Futures, Margin and Deficit Procedure. You can also consult the Essential Information Document of the option you want to invest in on Saxo Bank's website.

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...
Disclaimer

The Saxo Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-hk/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments. Saxo does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo or its affiliates.

Saxo Capital Markets HK Limited
19th Floor
Shanghai Commercial Bank Tower
12 Queen’s Road Central
Hong Kong

Contact Saxo

Select region

Hong Kong S.A.R
Hong Kong S.A.R

Saxo Capital Markets HK Limited (“Saxo”) is a company authorised and regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. Saxo holds a Type 1 Regulated Activity (Dealing in Securities); Type 2 Regulated Activity (Dealing in Futures Contract); Type 3 Regulated Activity (Leveraged Foreign Exchange Trading); Type 4 Regulated Activity (Advising on Securities) and Type 9 Regulated Activity (Asset Management) licenses (CE No. AVD061). Registered address: 19th Floor, Shanghai Commercial Bank Tower, 12 Queen’s Road Central, Hong Kong.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Trading in leveraged products may result in your losses exceeding your initial deposits. Saxo does not provide financial advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation. Please click here to view the relevant risk disclosure statements.

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-hk/about-us/awards.

The information or the products and services referred to on this site may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and services offered on this website are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity residing in the United States and Japan. Please click here to view our full disclaimer.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. AppStore is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.